Alberta’s revised coronavirus projection models released on Tuesday predict the province will reach its peak in the number of COVID-19 cases by mid-May.
Premier Jason Kenney unveiled the updated modelling on Tuesday, which included a new “low” modelling scenario, during a daily briefing with health officials.
Under the new low forecast, an estimated 298 Albertans will require hospitalization and 95 will need critical care when the virus reaches its peak.
Kenney said hospitalizations and admissions to intensive care units (ICU) remain “well below” initial model predictions.
Some grave numbers were handed to Canadians on Thursday, after the federal government released its national disease modelling and March’s job loss report was released. Mike Le Couteur looks at the projections for Canada’s best- and worst-case scenarios, while Eric Sorensen looks at the country’s unprecedented monthly job loss.
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Speaking to reporters outside Rideau Cottage in Ottawa on Thursday, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said even under the best-case projections released earlier in the day by his government, it’s likely the “first wave” of COVID-19 peak infection will likely not end until the summer.
“Normality, as it was before, will not come back full-on until we get a vaccine for this… That will be a very long way off,” the prime minister said.
Trudeau said well after the initial peak of COVID-19 infection rates has passed in Canada, Canadians should expect “wavelets” of COVID-19 infections to keep popping back up until a reliable vaccination is developed.
Alberta Premier Jason Kenney, joined by Dr. Deena Hinshaw and AHS CEO Dr. Verna Yiu, provided a provincial update on the COVID-19 situation Wednesday, including the public release of full projections of the pandemic.
Three new COVID-19 fatalities were announced on Wednesday, which brings Alberta’s death toll from the pandemic to 29.
The provincial government said that Alberta has recorded 50 new confirmed cases of COVID-19 over the past 24 hours, bringing the total case number to 1,423. Of those cases, 519 people have now recovered.
Quebec Premier François Legault and health officials provided an update on the ongoing provincial response to COVID-19.
On Wednesday, Quebec’s public health officials released projections that the province could see between 1,263 and 8,860 deaths by the end of April because of the novel coronavirus pandemic even amid sweeping measures aimed at curbing the spread of the virus.
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Saskatchewan’s health authority is expected to provide the projections for COVID-19 in the province on Wednesday.
Saskatchewan health authorities reported seven new confirmed cases of COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus, on Tuesday.
It brings the total number of cases in the province to 260 since the first presumptive case was reported on March 11.
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From Edmonton, Alberta Premier Jason Kenney delivers an address on the province’s response to the ongoing COVID-19 (coronavirus) outbreak. His address includes some details about projections from Alberta Health Services on the possible impact of COVID-19 in the province.
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